Arkansas

Arkansas Senate 2026

Safe RGeneral

Incumbent: Tom Cotton (R)

Republican Senator Tom Cotton is seeking re-election in Arkansas, a state that has leaned heavily Republican in recent federal contests. We rate this seat safe Republican.

Primary resultCalled
Tom Cotton (R)Hallie Shoffner (D)

Called by Ballotpedia, Arkansas Advocate · Mar 3, 2026 · unofficial

Polling below predates this result.

Tom Cotton
U.S. Senator (incumbent)
Micah Ashby
Republican candidate
Jeb Little
Republican candidate
Hallie Shoffner
Farmer
Ethan Dunbar
Democratic candidate

Historical Context

Last Election (2022)

John Boozman won by 28.0 pts
Natalie James
33.0%
John Boozman
61.0%

Presidential Lean

2024R+28.3
2020R+27.6
2016R+26.9
DR

Expert Ratings

Cook Political:Safe R
Sabato:Safe R
Split Ticket:Safe R

State Profile

Pop: 3.0M
Med. Age: 38.4
Urban: 56.2%
College: 24.7%
Racial / Ethnic Breakdown
White 72.7%Black 15.1%Hispanic 8.1%Asian 1.6%Other 2.5%

Polling Status

No senate polling data available for this race yet. Historical context and expert ratings are shown above.

Prediction Markets

No prediction market data available