Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania Governor 2026

Likely DGeneral

Incumbent: Josh Shapiro (D)

Incumbent Josh Shapiro is favored to win re-election in Pennsylvania, though the opposition is expected to mount a credible challenge.

Primary resultCalled

Josh Shapiro (D)Stacy Garrity (R)

Called by Spotlight PA, WHYY · May 19, 2026 · unofficial

Polling below predates this result.

Josh Shapiro

Governor of Pennsylvania (incumbent)

55.7%

Doug Mastriano

State Senator, 33rd District

37.0%

Stacy Garrity

Pennsylvania State Treasurer

34.6%

Polling

Polling Average

Polling average as of Apr 1, 2026 · updated 55 days ago

Recent Polls(5)

Susquehanna Polling

2026-04-01

n 700LV

Shapiro58%

Mastriano—

Garrity36%

Franklin & Marshall

2026-03-05

n 834RV

Shapiro48%

Mastriano—

Garrity28%

Quinnipiac

2026-02-25

n 836RV

Shapiro55%

Mastriano—

Garrity37%

Susquehanna Polling

2025-10-06

n 704LV

Shapiro55%

Mastriano37%

Garrity—

Quinnipiac

2025-10-01

n 1,579RV

Shapiro55%

Mastriano—

Garrity39%

			Pop	Shapiro	Mastriano	Garrity
2026-04-01	Susquehanna Polling	700	LV	58%	—	36%
2026-03-05	Franklin & Marshall	834	RV	48%	—	28%
2026-02-25	Quinnipiac	836	RV	55%	—	37%
2025-10-06	Susquehanna Polling	704	LV	55%	37%	—
2025-10-01	Quinnipiac	1,579	RV	55%	—	39%

Prediction Markets

No prediction market data available