Swing Analysis
Compare how states shifted between two elections
→
Average Swing
R+4.2
States Flipped
6
Largest Swing
MAR+12.9
Swing Map: 2020 → 2024
← D shift
R shift →
States by Swing
| State | 2020 | 2024 | Swing | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D+33.5 | D+20.6 | -12.9 | 11 | |
| D+35.4 | D+23.0 | -12.4 | 3 | |
| D+33.1 | D+21.4 | -11.7 | 10 | |
| D+23.1 | D+11.8 | -11.3 | 28 | |
| R+3.4 | R+13.2 | -9.8 | 30 | |
| D+15.9 | D+6.2 | -9.7 | 14 | |
| D+29.5 | D+20.5 | -9.0 | 4 | |
| D+29.2 | D+20.6 | -8.6 | 54 | |
| D+16.1 | D+7.7 | -8.4 | 8 | |
| R+5.6 | R+13.6 | -8.0 | 40 | |
| D+20.8 | D+13.0 | -7.8 | 4 | |
| D+20.1 | D+12.4 | -7.7 | 7 | |
| D+18.8 | D+11.4 | -7.4 | 3 | |
| D+10.8 | D+5.0 | -5.8 | 5 | |
ArizonaFLIP | D+0.3 | R+5.5 | -5.8 | 11 |
NevadaFLIP | D+2.4 | R+3.2 | -5.6 | 6 |
| D+19.2 | D+13.7 | -5.5 | 12 | |
| D+17.0 | D+11.7 | -5.3 | 19 | |
| R+8.2 | R+13.4 | -5.2 | 6 | |
| D+10.1 | D+5.1 | -5.0 | 13 | |
| R+10.1 | R+14.7 | -4.6 | 3 | |
| R+16.4 | R+20.7 | -4.3 | 4 | |
MichiganFLIP | D+2.8 | R+1.4 | -4.2 | 15 |
| D+7.3 | D+3.2 | -4.1 | 4 | |
| D+86.8 | D+83.1 | -3.7 | 3 | |
| D+9.1 | D+6.0 | -3.1 | 4 | |
| R+8.0 | R+11.1 | -3.1 | 17 | |
PennsylvaniaFLIP | D+1.2 | R+1.8 | -3.0 | 19 |
| R+15.4 | R+18.2 | -2.8 | 10 | |
| R+33.4 | R+30.7 | +2.7 | 3 | |
| R+11.7 | R+14.2 | -2.5 | 9 | |
GeorgiaFLIP | D+0.2 | R+2.2 | -2.4 | 16 |
| D+13.5 | D+11.5 | -2.0 | 10 | |
| R+1.3 | R+3.2 | -1.9 | 16 | |
| R+16.1 | R+18.0 | -1.9 | 11 | |
| D+7.1 | D+5.4 | -1.7 | 10 | |
| R+20.5 | R+22.1 | -1.6 | 6 | |
WisconsinFLIP | D+0.6 | R+0.9 | -1.5 | 10 |
| R+30.8 | R+32.3 | -1.5 | 4 | |
| R+14.7 | R+15.8 | -1.1 | 6 | |
| R+18.6 | R+19.6 | -1.0 | 8 | |
| R+16.5 | R+17.5 | -1.0 | 6 | |
| R+26.2 | R+27.1 | -0.9 | 3 | |
| R+27.6 | R+28.3 | -0.7 | 6 | |
| R+19.2 | R+18.5 | +0.7 | 5 | |
| R+23.3 | R+23.8 | -0.5 | 11 | |
| R+33.1 | R+33.4 | -0.3 | 7 | |
| R+25.9 | R+25.7 | +0.2 | 8 | |
| R+25.5 | R+25.4 | +0.1 | 9 | |
| R+38.9 | R+39.0 | -0.1 | 4 | |
| R+43.4 | R+43.3 | +0.1 | 3 |